We demonstrate the relevance of the problem and the effectiveness of the proposed method by numerical experiments derived from real-world scenarios. The Pareto optimal set of non-dominated decisions is derived by evaluating the risk of the decisions. A public time loss model is developed to evaluate the traffic congestion caused by a vehicle breakdown and the corresponding towing process. Particularly, we consider two criteria, namely the risk of public time loss and the risk of mission delay, representing the concerns of the public sector and the private sector, respectively. The maintenance decisions are generated by route searching in road networks and evaluated based on risk assessment considering the uncertainty of vehicle breakdowns. In this paper, we look into the maintenance planning of an operating vehicle under fault condition and formulate it as a multi-criteria decision-making problem. With the development of vehicular technologies on automation, electrification, and digitalization, vehicles are becoming more intelligent while being exposed to more complex, uncertain, and frequently occurring faults. The prediction capability of the proposed model is compared with multilayer perceptron, support vector regression, and autoregressive integrated moving average, and the results indicate a superior capability of CNN in predicting flow and density across all possible values of these parameters. The time-space diagram is directly used as the input to the traffic prediction model using a CNN. Accordingly, this study introduces a deep learning-based methodology to directly predict the traffic state based on the time-space diagram with the use of convolutional neural networks (CNN). This plot is comprehensive and contains all the information about traffic flow dynamics at both microscopic and macroscopic levels. The time-space diagram of the vehicles can be constructed from the connected vehicles’ data. Most of the existing data analysis approaches in traffic prediction rely on aggregated inputs such as flow and density, with limited studies using the individual vehicle-level data.
With the increase in data sources and advancement in connectivity, data analysis and machine learning approaches for traffic prediction have gained a lot of attention.
Traffic prediction is a major component of any traffic management system.